![]() ![]() Based on the latest industry projections, this will not be repeated in 2023. In 2023, Europe is set to witness a huge fall in fossil fuels- of coal power, yes, but especially gas power.įossil generation rose 3% in 2022. ![]() Hydro generation will rebound, French nuclear units will return, wind and solar deployment will accelerate, and electricity demand will likely continue to fall over the coming months. The 28 TWh rise in EU’s coal generation added only 0.3% to global coal generation.Ģ023 will be quite the opposite. ![]() In context, the rise was not substantial: coal power increased by just 1.5 percentage points to generate 16% of EU electricity in 2022, remaining below 2018 levels. It could have been much worse: wind, solar and a fall in electricity demand prevented a much larger return to coal. ![]() Gas generation was almost unchanged (+0.8%), and because gas was already more expensive than coal in 2021, there was no further switching from gas into coal in 2022. As a result, EU power sector emissions rose by 3.9% (+26 MtCO2) in 2022 compared to 2021. Since coal was less expensive than gas, coal accounted for the majority of the increase, rising 7% (+28 TWh) in 2022, compared to 2021. But the remaining sixth was met by increased fossil generation. Five-sixths of the gap was made up by more wind and solar generation and a fall in electricity demand. This created a large 185 TWh gap in generation, equal to 7% of Europe’s total electricity demand in 2022. A 1-in-500 year drought across Europe led to the lowest level of hydro generation since at least 2000, and there were widespread unexpected French nuclear outages just as German nuclear units were closing. However, the shift away from fossil fuels was put on hold by the twin crises in Europe’s electricity system in 2022. ![]()
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